Friday, December 4, 2009

FLOAT or LOCK? Phoenix Home Mortgage Update and Recommendation - Dec 4th, 2009


Current Pricing of FNMA 30 Year 4.5% Bond: $101.28
-53 bps (Prior Close – $101.81)

Market Update: Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) pricing is significantly lower today from yesterday's close. Bond prices fell this morning after a very unexpected Jobs Report was released for the month of November. A decline in bond prices causes home loan rates to increase. We've mentioned the market looks very overbought in the last several weeks and a sharp decline in prices weren't much of a surprise. From the market highs, MBS have lost over 125 bps. For a consumer, this translates into an additional cost of 1.25% to obtain the same rate available on Monday for a home loan.

Economic News: The Labor Department reported that only 11,000 jobs were lost in November, far fewer than the 125,000 job losses that were expected. There was also more good news for the U.S. when the Unemployment Rate improved to 10.0%, down from last month's reading of 10.2%.

Recommendation: FLOAT

The decision to float or lock your interest rate can save, or cost, you thousands of dollars over the life of your new mortgage. Our recommendation won't apply in all situations, so if you have questions please contact us for clarification. Also, if you're considering purchasing or refinancing and you would like us to arrange your financing please contact The Krushinsky Team at 602-695-7575 or email david.krushinsky@wjbradley.com.

For further clarification on the pricing of mortgages, click here.

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