Tuesday, December 15, 2009

FLOAT or LOCK? Phoenix Home Mortgage Interest Rate Update and Recommendation - Dec 15th, 2009

Current Pricing of FNMA 30 Year 4.5% Bond: $100.84
-25 bps (Prior Close – $101.21)

Market Update: Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) pricing is lower today from yesterday's close. For a consumer, this translates into an upfront fee increase equivalent to .25% of the loan amount in order to obtain the same rate available yesterday for a home loan. A decrease in bond prices causes home loan rates and/or fees to increase.

We've had a floating bias since the major price deterioration over the last week. Pricing hit levels of support today so we should see a move down in rates unless inflationary news continues to spook the market.

Economic News: Producer Price Index, which measures wholesale inflation, came in significantly higher than expected. The Empire State Index of manufacturing in New York showed the largest monthly decline on record in December. Industrial Production came in a bit higher than expected, rising in November by the most in three months.

Recommendation: FLOAT

The decision to float or lock your interest rate can save, or cost, you thousands of dollars over the life of your new mortgage. Our recommendation won't apply in all situations, so if you have questions please contact us for clarification. Also, if you're considering purchasing or refinancing and you would like us to arrange your financing please contact The Krushinsky Team at 602-695-7575 or email david.krushinsky@wjbradley.com.

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